Deal or No Deal

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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Pengwin » Mon Jul 15, 2013 1:47 pm

No deal.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Mon Jul 15, 2013 1:49 pm

Go ahead and pick 5 cases.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Pengwin » Mon Jul 15, 2013 3:08 pm

4, 9, 15, 19, and 26
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Mon Jul 15, 2013 8:08 pm

$50
$5
$.01
$.40
$300
were the amounts eliminated. It still doesn't look too good for you. The offer went up, but just barely.

$13 is the offer. Take it or leave it, deal or no deal? Let me summarize the situation for you. You still have 3 of the Big 7 (Amounts over $100) in play. However, 60% of your board is on the left side. This means there is a 60% chance right now that your case holds less than $10...
But wait, I see you may be having second thoughts. I know I am...just for looking at this spoiler, your offer goes up to $15.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Pengwin » Mon Jul 15, 2013 8:57 pm

I'll just take the $15 offer. >_>
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Mon Jul 15, 2013 10:46 pm

And thus your game ends. It is time for the big reveal. Aftershocker, your case held...

$10. You made a great deal.


Woody, you are up next. Pick a case and start us off!
Last edited by Monty on Mon Jul 15, 2013 10:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Woody » Tue Jul 16, 2013 10:04 am

18
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Tue Jul 16, 2013 9:42 pm

All right, let's get your first six cases.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Woody » Tue Jul 16, 2013 10:44 pm

2, 8, 15, 17, 22, 25
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Tue Jul 16, 2013 11:59 pm

2-$.15
8-$.40
15-$200
17-$.50
22-$.05
25-$10
Congratulations! What an exceptional round. You're going to start out with the largest first offer in ToO DoND history! Your offer is...$15. You now have a choice: Deal or No Deal?

If you say No Deal, I would ask that you proceed to pick five cases.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Woody » Wed Jul 17, 2013 12:46 pm

I'm not sure I entirely understand this game....

No deal

3, 5, 11, 14, 23
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Blitz » Wed Jul 17, 2013 2:52 pm

I would like to play.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Wed Jul 17, 2013 3:15 pm

Shakespeare wrote:I'm not sure I entirely understand this game....

No deal

3, 5, 11, 14, 23

Sorry, when I made the rules, I did it with the understanding that everyone would have some base knowledge of the game going in. Let me elaborate a little. You want to try to eliminate the lower boxes on the board. This is because when those lower amounts are revealed, they, logically, can not be in your case. So, when I make you the offer at the end of the round to buy your case, your offer will go up. Conversely, if you eliminate higher amounts, (see AS's game as a reference), your offer will go down. You ultimately want to take as much money from me as you can. The risk in saying "No Deal" is that you may eliminate those higher amounts, making both your next offer to buy your case drop and your odds of leaving with higher amounts of money go down. If you have any questions I can clarify, let me know.

With that said, let's open the cases.

3-$50.00
5-$75.00
11-$.10
14-$1.00
23-$.20

So, that was really good as well. After opening 11 cases, you left 6 of the top 7 amounts on the board.

NOTE FOR BOOKWORM AND OTHERS ANALYZING MY FORMULA: I am no longer using a strict statistical average due to the change in the money ladder.

With that said, I am prepared to offer you $75 to leave the game right now. Deal or No Deal?

If you say No Deal, pick your next four cases.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Woody » Wed Jul 17, 2013 4:00 pm

Deal
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Wed Jul 17, 2013 4:04 pm

Well, Shakespeare, you took the deal of $75. Let's take a look at what your case held.

The case you picked held...

$500.

You made a poor deal, but still came out ahead!

Now, let's move to our next contestant.

American Eagle, pick your case, and 6 cases to eliminate.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby American Eagle » Wed Jul 17, 2013 7:52 pm

I would like to pick case 7 as mine!

Please eliminate cases 2, 6, 13, 19, 23 and 26.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby bookworm » Thu Jul 18, 2013 2:33 pm

Monty wrote:NOTE FOR BOOKWORM AND OTHERS ANALYZING MY FORMULA: I am no longer using a strict statistical average due to the change in the money ladder.
:lol: I wasn't analyzing you, but I appreciate the assumption. ;)
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Thu Jul 18, 2013 10:09 pm

$.05
$300
$400
$500
$.20
$5

Interesting first round. Your offer is equally interesting: a $13 gift card to The Auction House.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby American Eagle » Thu Jul 18, 2013 10:22 pm

When I first read it, I thought it said "a $13 gift card to Amazon.com". I would've taken the deal. :(

Although I'd love to own the first ToO gift card, I'm going to say no deal.
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Re: Deal or No Deal

Postby Monty » Thu Jul 18, 2013 10:34 pm

Your choice...and it is also your choice of the next five cases to eliminate.
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